Where Will Iraq Go?

Where Will Iraq Go?


To civil war? To a stronger national unity?

To explain…

If you haven’t heard yet, one of the holiest Shi’ite mosques was attacked by insurgents. And since some Shi’ites think the Sunnis did it, they’ve attacked their mosques. Tit for tat, even though it’s not really clear that the Sunnis did anything at all. That’s the chaos we’re dealing with right now in Iraq. Ugh.

Iraq The Model has this thought:

The situation is still very tense but the good thing is that the Sunni have not returned the attacks and I hope the Shia have satisfied their vengeance by now because I don’t want to even think of what can happen if this situation lasts longer than this.

Yes, that’s good news, but this isn’t

The most powerful Sunni Muslim party quit talks to form a new government Thursday after Sunnis were attacked — and many killed –following the bombing of Samarra’s Al-Askariya Mosque, known as the Golden Mosque.

Members of the Sunni Accord Front met with Iraqi President Jalal Talabani and Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari before the announcement.

The situation isn’t hopeless right now, but it’s as tense as it has EVER been. You don’t just have one of the most important mosques in Iraq attacked and take it sitting down.

In the end, though, I want to believe Dave Schuler’s perspective from The Glittering Eye. He points to this post from 24 Steps To Liberty:

I was amazed how only the provocative and civil-war-style quotes were published today in the newspapers. Almost no newspaper showed how great, it appeared to us, the solidarity among Iraqis was yesterday. It is true that Sunni mosques were attacked by unknown men yesterday, and some Sunnis were killed. But that wasn’t the only thing happened as a reaction. Newspapers should have been neutral, as we were taught, and show both sides. Sunnis, Shiites, Kurds, Arabs, Christians, Sabians, Turkumans, and others publicly condemned the attack, but no one wanted to show the truth. I am not saying there will be no riots in Iraq to react to the shrine attack. I am not saying there weren’t mosques that were attacked yesterday and burned down. I am not saying that Shiites and Sunnis kissed and hugged after the attack yesterday. All what I am saying is that the news made Iraqis look like if they were fighting each other widely in the streets, which is not true.

Good lord I hope this is right.

Please, please, please…

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  • http://maverickviews.blogspot.com/ Alan Stewart Carl

    Shouldn’t call the attackers insurgents as we have no idea if they had anything to do with the insurgency. The attackers were terrorists, plain and simple.

  • Joshua

    Lee Harris, writing for TCS Daily, sees the situation in Iraq as the emergence of tribalized anarchy, which, as he describes it, makes the common characterization of “civil war” look misleadingly tame.

  • http://sporkmonger.com/ Bob Aman

    A Kurdish friend of mine assures me that civil war, at this point, is virtually inevitable. He says it’s only a matter of when, not if. I have a funny feeling that he’s biased though, because the Kurds are really the only group that stands to gain from civil war, simply because they have nothing to lose. Then again, the Lebanese professor I had for my Middle Eastern History class way back when (last year or the year before, I forget) seemed to think the same thing — when, not if.

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