Can Obama Put Mississippi In Play?

Can Obama Put Mississippi In Play?


There’s been a lot of talk about Obama’s 50 state strategy, and while I don’t buy that idea completely, the Votemaster over at notes that some states could be in play that would never be if a traditional candidate was running…

But Obama might put strange states in play, like Mississippi. About 37% of the state’s population is black. If they go for Obama for 95%, all he needs is 25% of the white vote. Where might he get that? Young voters and college-educated voters. If the Obama money machine gets up to speed, he could raise $200 million, maybe $300 million, which would make it possible to burn $5 million in Mississippi. He might also go there to campaign for former governor Ronnie Musgrove (D) who is trying to replace Sen. Roger Wicker (R) in the Senate. And many western states such as Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada will certainly be in play, and likely Virginia as well. Maybe Pennsylvania and Michigan, too.

I definitely think we seen evidence that’s suggest Obama has the potential to change the electoral map in ways that Hillary never would, but those discussions have always been about Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada…not necessarily Mississippi. If Obama can land that state, we could be looking at landslide territory.

  • Bob

    Kerry won 90% of African American vote but only 14% of white voters in 2004. While Obama ran raise both percentages there is no way he can increase the white vote by 9%. And while Obama can get non-traditional Democrat states, he will have a harder time in states where Clinton would have given McCain a tougher battle. These states also carry much more electoral votes, states like OH 20, FL 27, and MI 17 (a state which hasn’t gone GOP in years is now in play). While Obama will have to switch many more states if McCain wins all three of those.

    While Obama is working with a 50 state strategy, McCain is going for a 5 state strategy (MI, OH, PA, FL, NH). These are all Clinton states.

  • Avinash_Tyagi

    Obama can force McCain to spend in states to protect his hold, drain the McCain coffers and win the swing states and even pull off some leaners like NC, IN, MO and VA