Obama – 48%
McCain – 43%
Well, how about that? A state that Bush won by 20 points in 2004 and 25 points in 2000 has the potential to go blue?
Also, last month the numbers were reversed, so this represents a +10 net gain for Obama in a state many wouldn’t think he has a chance to be competitive in. Now the McCain camp will most definitely be looking at spending money in a place where they probably never thought they would have to.
Rasmussen has some more about how historic this would be…
Even Bob Dole managed to win Montana, albeit by a narrow 44% to 41% margin (Ross Perot picked up 14% of the vote).
The last Democrat to win Montana was Bill Clinton in 1992. He did so with 38% of the vote. The first President Bush got 35% of the Montana vote while Ross Perot picked up 26%.
Some credit must be given to Dem Governor Brian Schweitzer, who has really helped redefine the blue brand in that state and is being floated as a dark horse VP candidate.
One last note, Montana only has 3 electoral college votes, but in an election some say will be exceptionally close, a state like this could really set the stage for landslide territory.
More as it develops…