McCain – 45%
Obama – 39%
Barr – 5%
More evidence that solidly red states aren’t nearly as solid this time around. Because while South Carolina went for Bush by 16 points in 2004, now we’re down to single digits.
Public Policy Polling shares why Obama is keeping it close…
The demographics fueling Obama’s ability to stay within striking range are the same ones that allowed him to win a dominant victory in the state’s Democratic primary. He leads 77-10 with black voters and 54-32 with voters under 30. John McCain leads within pretty much every other subgroup.
If there is a path to victory for Obama in South Carolina it includes maximizing turnout from those two groups favorable to him, and also hoping that more conservatives unhappy with John McCain will turn toward Bob Barr.
I have serious doubts that South Carolina will go blue, but, once again, if Obama can keep it close then there’s a chance that it will spread McCain even thinner come election time.
More as it develops…