That’s right. The McCain camp actually thinks they can win Wisconsin, Minnesota or Pennsylvania. Failure to win any of these states means he loses.
â€œOur ability to pick off one of those three states is where our fortunes are largely held,â€ a McCain official said. â€œThese are states where Barack Obama is on the defense.â€
McCain has very limited ways to win, with no room for error. Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) still has many routes to the White House and so can afford to campaign on a much broader playing field. […]
McCain figures that winning one of those three big remaining swing states, plus those he considers safe, would put him 10 shy of the 270 electoral votes he needs to win.
â€œWe can dig up an additional 10 electoral votes in Nevada, Colorado and New Hampshire,â€ the official said.
Well, it’s definitely a “maverick” move, but so far this political season that has meant ill-informed and horribly executed.
But let’s get real folks. Pennsylvania is out. Republicans always think they can capture this one, but they always fall short. What’s more, the latest polling shows Obama pulling away significantly.
Minnesota and Wisconsin are definitely closer, but as mentioned earlier, Obama took Wisconsin by 17 points over Hillary so there’s not really a “blue collar” problem there.
So that leaves Minnesota, which is trending closer but is still a stretch. And my guess is that when the new state polls come out next week they’ll show a jump for Obama there too, effectively putting the state out of reach.
I guess we’ll see…