Hereâ€™s what hardcore partisans on both sides often fail to understand: winning an election doesnâ€™t mean most of the country agrees with their ideology. In fact, both the hardcore right and the hardcore left are minority positions whose influence is inflated not by numbers but by passion. They might be the â€œbasesâ€ of our two major parties, but they represent only one segment of American opinion.
Nevertheless, when the Republicans or Democrats win an election, their respective hardcore bases demand that their party govern from the ideological edges. Both sides like to claim that winning elections prove the nation has demanded ideological leadership and that a failure to provide such leadership will end in the partyâ€™s defeat.
The opposite is demonstrably true. Governing from the ideological edges guarantees failure.
And that brings us to the second thing hardcore partisans often fail to understand: elections are determined by the mushy middle — that amorphous collection of independents, malcontents, imbeciles and the indolent who swing their vote from side to side based primarily on which party is delivering the goods and which party isnâ€™t.
There must be nothing more annoying for hardcore partisans than to realize that the fate of their governing power rests in the hands of people who flip-flop between the parties and canâ€™t make up their minds until a few weeks before an election. How in the world is it that the direction of our nation is continually decided by those with little to no ideology?
Well, the fact is, many Americans see government as primarily a service provider. It builds roads. Protects us from enemies and catastrophes. Makes sure there is a level playing field by enforcing laws. The bread-and-butter things that parties either do well or do poorly.
The mushy middle is not like hardcore partisan ideologues who see government as primarily a means to change society and the nation itself. For these ideologues, the providing of services is secondary to the achievement of transformative goals, whether those be the establishment of socialism or the enforcing of Christian law or the abolishment of government itself (to give a few extreme examples).
Thatâ€™s not to say that there is no place for transformative ideas or ideology in government. Thatâ€™s just to say that ideologues typically make for bad managers. And bad managers lose elections.
If hardcore partisans on either side want to retain power, they need more self awareness. They need to see the negative consequences of their ideas and address those failures rather than wishing them away. Thatâ€™s one reason why John McCainâ€™s tax argument failed. Supply-side economics, for all its validity, creates some negative consequences. But hardcore Republicans refuse to acknowledge such problems and, as a result, they lost credibility with the mushy middle who care far less about the creep of socialism and far more about how they’re going to pay the bills this month.
Hardcore Democrats hoping for profound change on an ideological level, should take heed of the lessons of the past. They have the power to make some sweeping changes. But if they neglect the basic responsibilities of governing or ignore the negative consequences of their ideas, the new Democratic age will be a short one indeed.