“People that are social conservatives are also economic conservatives. But a lot of the economic conservatives are not social conservatives. Throw the social conservatives the pro-life, pro-family people overboard and the Republican party will be as irrelevant as the Whigs.”
– Mike Huckabee on the Republican party’s BIG problem
And honestly, I don’t know how they’ll fix this. Well, I do know how to fix it, but I don’t think it’ll happen. Which is why I keep saying that I genuinely believe this party is set to split in two in the coming years.
Maybe not right now and maybe not in 2012, but if Obama gets reelected and 2016 rolls around…that’ll be a crazy time for the GOP.
Because let’s say Obama is a democratic Reagan. Well, that means he’ll serve two terms, be very popular on his exit, and another Dem will be able to ride his coattails into the White House…just like Bush senior did in 1988.
Also, let’s face it, Bush should have won in 1992. But he made that dumb “Read my lips, no new taxes” promise and then broke it, so Ross Perot stepped in and siphoned off a ton of votes and Bill Clinton became President. But had Perot not been in the mix, Clinton NEVER would have been President. So Bush should have served two terms.
But I don’t see something similar happening for the Dems, because if a Perot pops up in 2020 it’ll only hurt the GOP since Independents usually turn out to be more conservative in their policy approaches…especially fiscal policy.
So we could be looking at 16 years of Dem presidents unless the GOP can somehow unify again. And there’s only one issue that can do that…fiscal conservatism.
See, I don’t know if Huckabee realizes it or not, but even though social conservatives can usually be counted on to come out and vote, they simply aren’t a large enough voting block to keep creating exclusionary policies for. The culture wars are done and the Dems have won. So if they want to have any power, they’re going to have to forget the social issues and focus on the fiscal. That’s the only way the GOP can survive.