The only thing that anyone (besides the fanboy crew) is interested in is when do todays regular upscaling DVD players morph into upscaling DVD players that also play HD DVD – AT THE SAME PRICES – as regular DVD is now.

Only HD DVD can offer this.
It’s just a couple of months off; HD DVD China launches in March and will see several more brands of inexpensive HD DVD players coming @ $100 or less.

People will go for high def, but they won’t want it complicated or expensive.

Blu-ray are totally reliant on the still expensive PS3 game console.
That is never going to break into the a/v mass-market in the way that (we already know) $100 (regularly priced, not season special) HD DVD players will.