How Hezbollah (can claim they) Won
In 1948, Israel repelled the attacks of Egypt, Syria, Lebanon, Iraq and Transjordan. In the Six Days War Israel used military force to stop a planned Egyptian attack and then defeated Syria, Iraq and Jordan when those nations launched their own attacks. During the Yom Kippur War, Israel again repelled attacks by Egypt and Syria.
Every time Arab nations have attacked Israel, the IsraeliÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s have won.
But today, after nearly a month of fighting between Hezbollah and Israel, it is Hezbollah who claims victory. And now we see the future. Weaker nations and peoples have learned that it is futile to directly attack stronger nations and peoples. Instead, they wage battle through the asymmetry of terrorism. But because a terrorist organization follows no international laws and has no boundaries or government, these groups never have to surrender. As long as one man with a camcorder claims to be the representative of the group, the group survives. And, in the new paradigm, survival is victory.
So Hezbollah wins because they wrote the rulesÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â‚¬?or, rather, the international community has permitted them to write the rules. By treating terrorist organizations more as criminal gangs (or, in more deluded corners, freedom fighters), rather than treating them as semi-nation states, we allow them to continue the asymmetry. We let them define the playing field.
Of course, the problem is, some terrorists really are no more than criminal gangs, receiving orders from no higher power than their own personal delusions. But others are nation-states in everything but name or are obvious appendages of recognized nations. They have strong structure. They have global reach. And they have citizensÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â‚¬?although we call them followers or believers.
In 2001, the international community recognized the reality of the situation when we collectively invaded Afghanistan and overthrew the Taliban, the bloodthirsty regime we rightly held responsible for al QaedaÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s attack on the United States. But then we became distracted. We misjudged the threat posed by Iraq and overestimated the benefit of ousting Saddam. And, at the same time, we lost the will to forcibly confront al Qaeda sponsors in the governments of nations outside of Afghanistan.
We seemed, not just as a nation but as an international community, unable to effectively balance law enforcement, diplomatic and militaristic solutions. Yes, such choices and judgments are far from easy. But this has been more than just an inability to plot the right course. This has been an inability to maintain the right vision.
President Bush has been much maligned for his ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã…â€œyou are either with us or with the terroristsÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã‚? statement. But he was right (in his own overly simplified way). Nations either support a stable world with recognized nation states conforming to a series of international standards OR they support the continued existence of terrorist groups. ThereÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢s no wiggle room there. Even though there is plenty of room to find new methods of confronting terrorists.
Somewhere in the blood, dust and confusion of Iraq (and perhaps also somewhere in the bright blindness of ivory towers), we have lost sight of the primary goal. And by ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã…â€œwe,ÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã‚? I mean the international community. How else is it that the world failed to rally to the side of Israel and instead scrambled to find a way out for Hezbollah? CouldnÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢t we as a group of nations have worked together to eradicate Hezbollah while also saving Lebanon and the innocent Lebanese caught in the middle? ShouldnÃƒÂ¢Ã¢â€šÂ¬Ã¢â€žÂ¢t we have done this years ago?
Instead, Hezbollah survives and now claims victory. This is no way to solve the terrorist problem. This only gives it strength.