This is the last poll before the caucus and it is historically very accurate. That doesn’t mean it will ultimately prove to be dead on, but it’s still VERY good news for his campaign. This is fantastic momentum going into January 3rd and everybody knows it.
Obama was the choice of 32 percent of likely Democratic caucusgoers, up from 28 percent in the Register’s last poll in late November, while Clinton, a New York senator, held steady at 25 percent and Edwards, a former North Carolina senator, was virtually unchanged at 24 percent.
The poll reflects continued fluidity in the race even as the end of the yearlong campaign nears. Roughly a third of likely caucusgoers say they could be persuaded to choose someone else before Thursday evening. Six percent were undecided or uncommitted.
The poll also reveals a widening gap between the three-way contest for the lead and the remaining candidates. No other Democrat received support from more than 6 percent of likely caucusgoers.
Looks like Biden, Richardson and Dodd are pretty much done for since Barack pulled all of his new support from them. In particular Biden since he’s down to 4%. And if none of them pull double digits, they won’t do anything in New Hampshire and then they won’t do anything anywhere else.
Also, the most important part of Barack’s numbers…
Obama’s rise is the result in part of a dramatic influx of first-time caucusgoers, including a sizable bloc of political independents. Both groups prefer the Illinois senator in what has been a very competitive campaign.
Who’s the most electable again? Who’s the unity candidate? Ahem…
On the Republican side, Huckabee keeps his lead against Romney…but will it survive all of his recent gaffes?