In the latest Zogby poll, Obama has widened his lead in California, tied it up in New Jersey, taken a lead in Missouri and holds a 17 point lead in Georgia.
One note…if Hillary loses California, that’s a big story. The other big states like New York and Illinois can both be seen as home field advantage states so winning there isn’t such a big deal. But if Obama can take Cali that will give him a massive boost.
The Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby rolling tracking poll surveyed presidential races in both parties in California, New Jersey and Missouri. The polls also looked at the Republican race in New York and the Democratic race in Georgia. Polling will continue for one more night.
In California, Obama gained two points on Clinton overnight to lead 46 percent to 40 percent, with a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. Obama wiped out a 1-point Clinton advantage in Missouri to take a 47 percent to 42 percent lead, with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
The two rivals were deadlocked at 43 percent in New Jersey, with 10 percent still undecided. Obama had a 17-point edge in Georgia, aided by a more than 3-to-1 edge among black voters.
On the Repub side, Romney just may win California as his lead has widened. The only problem is that McCain leads in most of the winner-take-all states…
Romney, a former Massachusetts governor, led McCain 40 percent to 32 percent in California, where the margin of error was 3.3 percentage points. A win in California, the most populous state, could help puncture McCain’s growing momentum in the Republican nomination fight. […]
“Romney is widening his lead in California and has a really big advantage with conservatives,” Zogby said. “Romney winning California would give some Republicans pause when they look at McCain as the potential nominee.”
Romney said he would cut short a scheduled trip to Georgia and fly back to California on Monday for a last-minute campaign visit.
You’re damn right he’s going back to Cali. Run Mitt Run!
Again, if Romney takes the biggest prize, that’s significant, but it still may be too insurmountable because of how the Super Tuesday primaries are structured on the Republican side.