To Win The Democratic Nomination Outright…
Hillary needs 97% of the remaining pledged delegates. Obama needs 77%.
What this tells us is that both will need the superdelegates to win.
However, we all know that it’ll be hard to make the case that the superdelegates should go against the will of the voters. So what would it take for Hillary to pull into the lead?
Clinton would need to win 59% of the delegates in the remaining 12 contests in order to overtake Sen. Obama’s delegate lead.
If the upcoming 611 delegates at stake split 59/41 for Clinton — 360 would go to Clinton and 251 would go to Obama — netting Sen. Clinton 109 delegates. . . which would be enough to overcome Obama’s current 106 delegate lead.
The end of this post? Yes.