Technology with attitude

Shiite Violence = Surge Success?

1

The Pentagon throws some interesting logic on the table about the recent problems in Iraq.

From AFP:

WASHINGTON (AFP) — The Pentagon on Wednesday said an eruption of violence in southern Iraq, where US-backed government forces were battling Shiite militias, was a “by-product of the success of the surge.”

Pentagon press secretary Geoff Morrell said it showed that the Iraqi government and security forces were now confident enough to take the initiative against Shiite extremists in the southern port of Basra.

“Citizens down there have been living in a city of chaos and corruption for some time and they and the prime minister clearly have had enough of it,” he said at a Pentagon press conference.

Maybe I’m missing something here, but if you follow this logic wouldn’t a complete withdrawal of our troops embolden the Iraqi security forces even more to act? Again, if they have no safety net they’ll have to squash these uprisings a lot faster.

And remember, Americans really aren’t fighting this fight…

Morrell said US forces were supporting the Iraqi crackdown, mainly from the air, but it was an Iraqi operation.

Again, I don’t see how drawing down our troops will hurt the Iraqi government’s new sense of ownership in the security of Iraq.