Looks like the polls are trending toward a dead heat in PA. Hillary was up quite a bit in past weeks, especially during the Wright controversy, but it appears as if Public Policy Polling’s numbers yesterday may not be too far off the mark.
April 3, 2008 â€” The latest InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey shows Sen. Hillary Clinton clinging to a 2-point lead in the Pennsylvania Democratic Primary. The telephone survey of likely registered Democratic voters, conducted April 2, has been weighted for age, race and gender. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.7%. The results are:
InsiderAdvantage/Creators Syndicateâ€™s Matt Towery: â€œThis could be the beginning of the end of the Clinton campaign. The crosstabs show Obama trailing among white voters, but by only a 49%-40% margin. More importantly, Obama has a lead among African-American voters of 56%-29%, with the remainder undecided.
Remember, this primary is another 18 days away, so plenty of time for these numbers to shift.
Strategic Vision’s new poll shows a similar tightening…
A new Strategic Vision (R) poll shows Clinton ahead 49% to 41% with Obama having gained ground in the past two weeks. This poll was conducted March 28-30, but the last Strategic Vision poll from March 7 to 9 showed Clinton leading Obama 56% to 38%.
So Obama has gained 3 and Hillary has slipped by 7.
More as it develops…