Polls: Hillary Leads By 3, 5
The findings: Clinton/Obama, 46/43.
Any which way you slice it, the race is tight and all the polls we’ve seen. So unless something crazy happens on Monday, Hillary simply isn’t going to get the big win she needs.
“Okay, so let’s play Confound the Pollsters. Obama, who polled a mere 40% yesterday had a good today at 46% to Clinton’s 44%. We quadruple-checked our Saturday sample and it is solid. Perhaps the buzz from both his San Francisco statements and the ABC debate has subsided. He picked up a few more points in Philadelphia and the east, where he has been leading, in the central state area, and up-ticked a bit with men.
Clinton seems to have added a few points in the Pittsburgh region. But a very close examination of these numbers over the five days we have been tracking shows that it is whites and Catholics who are undecided. They clearly do not like Clinton and are definitely not breaking for Obama.
Yesterday Zogby showed Clinton/Obama, 47/42.
Now MSNBC’s findings show her leading 48/43:
A new MSNBC/McClatchy/Pittsburgh Post-Gazette poll of Pennsylvania indicates things are staying fairly competitive in the Pennsylvania Dem primary.
The poll of 625 likely Dem primary voters was conducted Thursday and Friday and showed Clinton leading Obama 48-43%. Considering the 4% margin of error, it means Clinton’s lead is inside the margin.
Still, the poll is consistent with what the campaigns and other reputable polls have been showing and that is Clinton getting close to 50% and Obama struggling to climb over 45%.
More as it develops…