With 7 percent undecided, she has the advantage 49 to 45.
Overall, in the Keystone State, Clinton is now viewed favorably by 71% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters. Obama gets favorable reviews from 69%. Clintonâ€™s favorable ratings in the state peaked in early March at 77%. Obamaâ€™s peaked in late March at 73%.
This is the fifth straight Rasmussen Reports poll of the race to show Clinton with a single-digit lead. In all five polls, Clintonâ€™s support has been between 47% and 50% while Obamaâ€™s range has been from 41% to 44%. The demographic make-up of the state seems to favor Clinton, which has enabled her to retain a modest lead despite being significantly outspent by the Obama campaign.
And in an interesting twist, Rasmussen gives a caveat to their primary season…
It is far more challenging to project turnout in a Primary Election than a General Election.
Fifty-eight percent (58%) of this survey sample are women, 42% men.
Eleven percent (11%) are under 30 and 57% are over 50.
Eighty-two percent (82%) are White and 15% African-American.
Twenty-six percent (26%) make $75,000 per year or more.
The degree to which actual turnout varies from these figures could have a significant impact on the final results.
That’s certainly curious. Does this mean they’re not confident in these numbers? After all, does anybody think that women will outnumber men by 16%? Or that only 11% will be under 50?
More as it develops…