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ARG: Obama Up By 5 In Florida

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On the heels of today’s Quinnipiac poll that showed Obama up by 4, American Research Group finds a similar spread in the Sunshine State.

Obama – 49%
McCain – 44%

Here’s how the demos break down…

Party ID of likely voters
Democrats – 43%
Republicans – 38%
Independent – 19%

Candidate preference by party ID
Democrats – Obama +61
Republicans – McCain +57
Independent – Obama +4

Gender: Male (47% of likely voters)
Obama – 48%
McCain – 46%

Gender: Female (53% of likely voters)
Obama – 49%
McCain – 43%

Race: Caucasian (73% of likely voters)
McCain – 48%
Obama – 45%

Race: Hispanic (16% of likely voters)
McCain – 50%
Obama – 41%

Race: African American (11% of likely voters
Obama – 88%
McCain – 8%

Age: 18 to 49 (45% of likely voters)
Obama – 52%
McCain – 42%

Age: 50 & older (55% of likely voters)
Obama – 46%
McCain – 46%

Conclusion? Florida is up for grabs, but Obama isn’t doing nearly as poorly as some thought given how contentious seating the Florida delegates turned out to be.