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Rasmussen: Obama Leads By 4

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Obama – 49%
McCain – 45%

Three straight days with the exact same result. However, if you don’t include leaners, Obama leads by 7, and he was leading by 5 yesterday. So I’m going to start including numbers with and without leaners next week.

The 5 day:
06/27/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 49%
06/26/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 49%
06/25/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 49%
06/24/2008: McCain – 44%, Obama – 49%
06/23/2008: McCain – 43%, Obama – 49%

How sure are voters with their decision? Apparently, not very…

Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters are certain they will vote for Obama and not change their mind. Thirty-three percent (33%) are just as certain they will vote for McCain.

Seventy percent (70%) of Republicans are certain they will vote for McCain and 68% of Democrats say they same about Obama.

Among those not affiliated with either major party, 30% are certain to vote for McCain, 25% for Obama and 45% say they could change their mind before Election Day. Part of the reason for this extraordinary fluidity is that the candidates are relatively unknown. Another factor is that the issue array is not as settled as in recent elections.

Of note, this is one of the few polls where McCain holds a lead among independents, and since this is a daily it may be a much truer view of where these key voters stand.

More tomorrow…