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Rasmussen: Obama Up By 1, 2

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With leaners
Obama – 47%
McCain – 46%

Without leaners
Obama – 44%
McCain – 42%

Not much movement today as Obama’s overseas trip next week quickly approaches.

Of note, Rasmussen shares that Obama’s support looks a lot like John Kerry’s…

There has been much discussion about the potential demographic changes brought about by Obama’s historic candidacy and the fact that he won the nomination by ending Hillary Clinton’s historic candidacy. Rasmussen Reports reviewed data from our July polling and found somewhat surprisingly that Obama’s support looks a lot like John Kerry’s. The only big difference is that Obama is currently doing about five points better against McCain than Kerry did against George W. Bush.

Four years ago, exit polls showed Bush defeating Kerry among white men by a 62% to 37% margin. Today, Obama is doing four points better than that and trails 58% to 37% among white men.

The tale is the same among white women. Bush won that demographic by eleven percentage points, 55% to 44%. Obama is doing five points better and trails by only six, 48% to 42%.

The 5 day w/leaners:
07/18/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 47%
07/17/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 46%
07/16/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 48%
07/15/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 47%
07/14/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 47%

The 5 day w/o leaners:
07/18/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 44%
07/17/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 44%
07/16/2008: McCain – 41%, Obama – 45%
07/15/2008: McCain – 40%, Obama – 44%
07/14/2008: McCain – 42%, Obama – 44%

More tomorrow…