Red State’s Erick Erickson claims to have inside knowledge on McCain’s Veep pick:

I’m confident enough to put this up now, but willing to be wrong.

Right now though, every sign, signal, and background chatter indicates John McCain will pick Tim Pawlenty, Minnesota’s governor, as his running mate.

UPDATE: A source close to the campaign now confirms for me that it “more likely than not” is Pawlenty. He does, however, caution me that the campaign does not actually want to leak tonight lest the Obama camp get too much of a chance to play the victim card with a sympathetic media.

If true, it’s underwhelming. Pawlenty is an unknown outside Minnesota and, from what I’ve seen, would have a tough time holding his own in a debate with Joe Biden.

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