Obama’s lead gets wider today as everybody is waiting for the debates, the first of which will be on September 26th.
Obama’s current 49% rating is close to his 50% record high reached just after the Democratic National Convention. (That came in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30-Sept. 1.) However, his current five-point advantage is still lower than his 9-point lead in late July (following his trip to Europe and the Middle East) and his 8-point leads right after the Democratic National Convention in late August.
McCain’s 44% is about midway between his record high 49% reached right after the Republican National Convention in early September, and his all-time low for the year of 40% recorded in late July.
If McCain can keep the current spread of 5 points he may be able to close the gap if he has a particularly good debate performance. But if Obama’s lead gets wider, expect the campaign to start getting even nastier as we head into the home stretch.