Looks like the numbers may not accurately reflect actual voter preference since they were drawn from a group already skeptical about Obama.
The AP study also seems to have been conducted among a population of Democrats more skeptical of Obama than normal. While both the ABC News/Washington Post polls and the massive weekly summaries of the Gallup Poll show that since late August between 83 and 85 percent of Democrats say they will vote for Obama, the AP study interviewed a population where just seven in 10 Democrats said they support Obama.
So while the poll shouldn’t be dismissed out of hand, the numbers may not be as depressing as were previously suggested.
Personally, I think race will play into this race on both sides of the coin for Obama, so it will ultimately end up being a wash. That’s just my gut on it. What’s yours?