Obama – 48%
McCain – 47%
The numbers stay the same today, as we head into our first debate week!
Rasmussen talks about how close this race has been…
The underlying closeness of the race is highlighted by the fact that the candidates have been within three points of each other for 50 of the last 55 days. The only exceptions were five days around the Democratic National Convention where Obama opened a four-to-six point lead. During those 55 days, theyâ€™ve been within two points of each other 41 times and the gap has been one point or less 28 times.
Still, while the race has consistently been close, there have been identifiable trends. For most of August, Obama held a very slight one or two point lead in the tracking poll. He expanded that lead to six points with a solid convention bounce but then McCain returned the favor with a convention bounce of his own. McCainâ€™s advantage peaked at three points last weekend before the Wall Street roller coaster ride of the past week began a drift back in Obamaâ€™s direction.
The 5 day:
09/21/2008: McCain – 47%, Obama – 48%
09/20/2008: McCain – 47%, Obama – 48%
09/19/2008: McCain – 48%, Obama – 48%
09/18/2008: McCain – 48%, Obama – 48%
09/17/2008: McCain – 48%, Obama – 47%