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Rasmussen: Obama Up By 1


Obama – 48%
McCain – 47%

3 days in a row and the same spread.

More about the history of the race…

The underlying closeness of the race for the White House is highlighted by the fact that the candidates have been within three points of each other for 51 of the last 56 days. The only exceptions were five days around the Democratic National Convention where Obama opened a four-to-six point lead. During those 56 days, they’ve been within two points of each other 42 times and the gap has been one point or less 29 times.

Still, while the race has consistently been close, there have been identifiable trends. For most of August, Obama held a very slight one or two point lead in the tracking poll. He expanded that lead to six points with a solid convention bounce but then McCain returned the favor with a convention bounce of his own. McCain’s advantage peaked at three points last weekend before the Wall Street roller coaster ride of the past week began a drift back in Obama’s direction.

The 5 day:
09/22/2008: McCain – 47%, Obama – 48%
09/21/2008: McCain – 47%, Obama – 48%
09/20/2008: McCain – 47%, Obama – 48%
09/19/2008: McCain – 48%, Obama – 48%
09/18/2008: McCain – 48%, Obama – 48%

More tomorrow…