Obama – 50%
McCain – 45%
Again, no change today, as the final debate is upon us.
With a strong showing tonight, Obama could literally seal the deal. Likewise, if McCain is able to plant seeds of doubt, we could see a slight swing back to him, although he’d have to land a couple really devastating blows at this point.
One thing’s for sure…tonight’s debate is all about the undecided voter…
For McCain, the encouraging news comes from core supportersâ€”those who are certain how they will vote and that they will not change their mind. Just 42% are certain they will vote for Obama while 40% say the same about McCain. That two-point gap is much closer than the overall numbers. Itâ€™s also much closer than the 45% to 38% advantage among core supporters enjoyed by Obama heading into the second Presidential Debate last week.
Overall, 12% of voters remain persuadables who favor one candidate or the other but could change their mind. Those, plus the 3% who remain undecided, are the target audience for both candidates in tonightâ€™s debate.
The 5 day:
10/15/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 50%
10/14/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 50%
10/13/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 50%
10/12/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 51%
10/11/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 52%