Obama – 51%
McCain – 45%
Obama gains one and McCain loses one as Rasmussen notes the steadiness in the numbers…
It is difficult to overstate the stability of this campaign ever since the events on Wall Street brought a new wave of economic anxiety to the fore. Just before Lehman Brothers collapsed and started the Wall Street debacle, McCain held a very slight lead in the polls. Immediately afterwards, the race became more of a referendum on the Bush Administration and Obama moved ahead. The stability of Obamaâ€™s advantage in recent weeks suggests that it will be difficult for McCain to change the dynamic before the results are finally set in stone.
For the past eleven days, Obama has been at the 50% or 51% level of support every day in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll. During those same eleven days, McCain has been at 45% or 46% every day and the gap between the candidates has stayed between four and six percentage points.
If you go back a couple of weeks further, the results are pretty much the same. Itâ€™s now been 27 days since Obamaâ€™s support moved below 50% or above 52%. During that period, the number voting for McCain has stayed in the 44% to 46% range and the gap between the candidates has ranged from four to eight percentage points.
Rasmussen is the standard this election season. Keep an eye on its numbers, because I really think you’ll see the popular vote mirror this poll more than any other.
The 5 day:
10/22/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 51%
10/21/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 50%
10/20/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 50%
10/19/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 51%
10/18/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 50%