Obama – 52%
McCain – 44%
No change today in the public numbers, but the underlying numbers are getting much worse for McCain.
First, McCain’s favorability numbers are starting to drop, while Obama’s are rising…
McCain is now viewed favorably by just 50% of voters and unfavorably by 49%. Those are his lowest ratings since the campaign became a two-man race in early June. The figures include just 25% with a Very Favorable opinion of the Republican nominee while 28% hold a Very Unfavorable view.
Obama is viewed favorably by 57%, including 42% with a Very Favorable opinion of the frontrunner.
Why is this important? Because there are still 4% of voters who are kicking around out there trying to decided. Now, 2% are probably going 3rd party, but that last 2% is very important. Because it could mean the difference for between Dems winning 58 Senate seats and them winning 60 Senate seats. That’s how much of a drag the failing McCain ticket is on the party now.
And to that point about undecideds…here’s more about voting preferences soldifying in Obama’s favor…
However, while the overall levels of support have remained stable, voters have become more certain of their intent. Today, the percentage who say they could still change their mind is down to single digits. 48% are now certain they will vote for Obama while 39% say the same about McCain. One month ago, while Obama enjoyed a five-point lead overall, just 41% of voters were certain they would vote for him. At that time, 39% said the same about McCain.
Long story short, these numbers look horrible for McCain and point to a landslide for Obama.
The 5 day:
10/26/2008: McCain – 44%, Obama – 52%
10/25/2008: McCain – 44%, Obama – 52%
10/24/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 52%
10/23/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 52%
10/22/2008: McCain – 45%, Obama – 51%