Pew: Obama Leads By 19 Among Already Voted
Looks like that early voting strategy is really working out for the Dems and could literally give Obama a 19% edge with 31% of the voting population.
Obama holds a 53% to 34% lead among the sizable minority of voters (15%) who say they have already voted.
Among those who plan to vote early but have not yet voted (16% of voters), 56% support Obama, while 37% support McCain.
And some more numbers that should scare McCain…
- Obama leads in battleground states 53% to 35%
- Obama leads in Democratic states 57% to 31%
- And the bombshell…Obama leads in Republican states, 47% to 43%
By the way, battleground states are Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania Virginia and Wisconsin.
So…since Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Hampshire and New Mexico are in the mix…they could be skewing the battleground numbers a bit. But you’re still talking about an 18 point lead.
Now, Pew could be wildly off. But this is not a polling organization with a shoddy track record.
Here are some cross tabs…
More as it develops…