Obama – 51%
McCain – 46%

No movement today as Rasmussen is showing perhaps the most conservative lead for Obama in all of the daily trackers.

The numbers…

Now, however, Obama is now viewed favorably by 55% of voters nationwide, McCain by 53%. Obama gets positive reviews from 88% of Democrats and 56% of unaffiliated voters. 90% of Republicans and 55% of unaffiliateds say the same about Obama.

However, there is a definite enthusiasm gap when it comes to the candidates. 77% of Democrats have a Very Favorable opinion. Only 55% of Republicans are that upbeat about McCain.

Obama leads by ten among women but trails by two among men.

The economy remains the top issue of Election 2008 for 46% of voters. Just 20% see national security as the top priority. The importance of the economic issue is highlighted by the fact that McCain was leading by three points in mid-September just before Lehman Brothers collapsed and made public the depth of Wall Street’s problems. Shortly after that, Obama moved ahead and has enjoyed a stable lead that has lasted into the final weekend of Election 2008.

Here’s the thing…if Obama is at 51% at this point then that’s a comfortable lead and there’s probably little McCain can do to put a dent in it. And that means that an Obama win is highly likely. And I’m talking about a 90%+ likelihood.

The 5 day:
11/02/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 51%
11/01/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 51%
10/31/2008: McCain – 47%, Obama – 51%
10/30/2008: McCain – 46%, Obama – 51%
10/29/2008: McCain – 47%, Obama – 50%

More tomorrow…

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