Pew’s Polarization Numbers Are Out Of Whack
When I read the headline of this poll(“Partisan Gap in Obama Job Approval Widest in Modern Era”) I thought it seemed a bit weird.
And then I looked at the numbers…
The faulty logic is glaring.
Note it’s apparent that Clinton enjoyed less Republican support than Obama did, but since Obama has more support from Dems his “R-D Diff” is higher. To their credit, Pew does acknowledge this is in their analysis, but it’s a bit disingenuous to on one hand title a poll like they did, while on the other say, “Yeah, but, here’s the reason why.”
And then there’s the inconsistency between polling dates. Obama’s is in March, but Bush’s is a month later in April? And the elder Bush’s number were taken a month later in May? A lot can happen in a few months, as this presidency has proven.
So the bright spots in this poll for Obama? First, he enjoys more the most support from Independents than any other President since Reagan. And his total job approval rating is nearly equal to that of Reagan’s.
Still, I’d like to see Pew’s numbers from right now. Because between the market’s rally and his trip to Europe, my guess is that they’d be higher.